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Sexual Offender Facts
Today in Ohio over 20,000 (or 99.9%) of registered sexual offenders DID NOT re-offend. Only .75 RSOs in Ohio recidivate sexually each day. (.75/21511)*100 = 99.99%.
Even if you say for the whole year how many RSOs re-offend sexually? 239/21511 = 98.9%
Spreadsheet and source data available upon request.
Note: Re-offenses in one year. There are more RSO registered than shown above. This data is only for the last ten years (2000-2010). Ohio has been had the registry since 1996. The extra four to five years. There is nearly an additional 5000 RSOs who have been on the registry from 10 to 15 years. They only add about 1 re-offense a year at the most. The re-offense rates for each year after released is based form the information found in ODRC Ten-Year Recidivism Follow-Up Of 1989 Sex Offenders Releases R4
100,000 Sexual Offends are missing and not registering, not even close.
With an agreed 716750 total RSOs in the nation at 49467 RSO check the sample size is 6.90%. Those found to be compliant and follow the registry laws was 46679 or 94.4%. When applying this to the total population of RSO’s there are 676358 compliant . Leaving the so called missing or non-compliant at 40392 or 5.6%. The state of New York was the only state to have any mention of state wide reporting. They have a 94.5% compliance rate of their nearly 30,000 RSOs . It should be noted, when reports stated how many RSO were found to be non-compliant most were arrested before the checks were completed. Not all reports contained this data, but only about 25% of the non-compliant were still missing after the checks. This demonstrates even when not following the registry law most can be found with ease. If the trend of 25% truly missing is applied nationwide the missing may be as low as 10,000. Either way we now have a number somewhere between 10 to 40 thousand. Click here for the full details.
"Studies show that most sex offenders do not re-offend after being caught" (R12)
"Most sexual assaults are committed by someone known to the victim or the victim’s family, regardless of whether the victim is a child or an adult." (R15)
Adult victims: "Statistics indicate that the majority of women who have been raped know their assailant. A 1998 National Violence Against Woman Survey revealed that among those women who reported being raped, 76% were victimized by a current or former husband, live-in partner, or date (Tjaden & Thoennes, 1998)."
Child Victims: "Approximately 60% of boys and 80% of girls who are sexually victimized are abused by someone known to the child or the child’s family (Lieb, Quinsey, and Berliner, 1998). Relatives, friends, baby-sitters, persons in positions of authority over the child, or persons who supervise children are more likely than strangers to commit a sexual assault."
Re-offense rates vary among different types of sex offenders and are related to specific characteristics of the offender and the offense. (R15)
"Persons who commit sex offenses are not a homogeneous group, but instead fall into several different categories. As a result, research has identified significant differences in re-offense patterns from one category to another." (Hanson and Bussiere 1998)
Individual characteristics of the crimes further distinguished recidivism rates. Victim gender and relationship have been found to impact recidivism rates. (Quinsey, Rice, & Harris, 1995)
It is noteworthy that recidivism rates for sex offenders are lower than for the general criminal population. Of 108,580 non-sexual offenders released from prisons in 11 states in 1983 nearly 63% were re-arrested within three years of their release. (Bureau of Justice Statistics, 1983) Within three years of release from prison that of the 9,691 release sexual offenders in 1994 that only 5.3% were re-arrested for a sexual offense, additionally 3.5% were reconvicted. (R1p1 & 2)
Adolescents are responsible for a significant number of rape and child molestation cases each year. (R15) "Sexual assaults committed by youth are a growing concern in this country. Currently, it is estimated that adolescents (ages 13 to 17) account for up to one-fifth of all rapes and one-half of all cases of child molestation committed each year (Barbaree, Hudson, & Seto, 1993)."
Sexual assault statistics: (R15)
"Contrary to the popular idea that sex offenders are repeatedly returning to prison for future sex crimes, in this population a sex offender recidivating for a new offense within 10 years of release was a relatively rare occurrence." (R3p15)
"However, there is a rather wide spread misconception that sex offenders, as a whole, are repeat sex offenders. While this study is obviously unable to determine the actual rate of re-offense, it is clear that a sex offender returning to an Ohio prison for a new sex offense is a fairly unusual occurrence." (R3p12)
"What can we conclude about sex offender recidivism? Sex offenders released from Ohio prisons in 1989 returned to the prison system within ten years at a rate of 34% [for all crimes and parole violations]. The percentage of offenders who returned for a new crime was 22.3%. Only 8% of the offenders returned to prison for a new sex crime." (R3p15) (Emphasis added)
"The ten year recidivism rate for the group of sex offenders in this study was 11%. Eight percent of the offenders returned for a new crime. Another 3% were revoked for a parole violation that was sexual in nature (sex crime), or a relapse behavior (sex lapse)." (R3p11)
* These percentages are the Total Recidivism (11%) broken down by why the offender returned to prison. R3 (PDF)
"Sex offenders who returned for a new sexual related offense did so within a few years of release. Of all the sex offenders who came back to an Ohio prison for a new sex offense, one-half did so within two years, and two-thirds within three years." (R3 executive summary)
The report found, however, that non-sex offenders were significantly more likely to be rearrested for any offense than sex offenders were. In addition, in total numbers, more non-sex offenders (3,845) than sex offenders (517) were rearrested for a new sex crime in the three years following release [in 1994]. Moreover, released sex offenders were much more likely to be rearrested for a non-sexual crime than a sex crime. Child molesters had lower re-arrest rates than other types of sexual offenders overall. (R1&R11)
A few reports claim higher numbers but fall apart under scrutiny. These reports represent what are called "Twististics." (BSH)
"There is reason to downgrade risk status for the offender who has not re-offended in the community over a protracted period." (R4p9)
"One of the common misconceptions about sex offenders is that most victims are strangers to the offender. ... While many of the adult victims were strangers to the offenders, few of the child victims were strangers." (R3p7)
"...Hanson and Bussiere (1998) found that the closer the pre-existing relationship with the victim, the lower the recidivism rate (incest < acquaintances < strangers)." (R7p3)
Note: This trend remained consistent even when controlling for conviction offenses and victim age. R3 (PDF)
"[Adult] offenders who victimized children were less likely to return to prison for any reason." (R3p9)
"...45% of child sexual abuse cases in Vermont [& nationwide] are perpetrated by children and teens." (R14)
"Contrary to popular opinion, sex offenders are treatable and have relatively low recidivism rates," said Karl Hanson, who developed the STATIC-99 and is considered a leading expert on sex offenders. Additionally Hanson noted that 10% of prisoners who treated and 17% of those who are not are reconvicted of a sex offense. (R5)
"Hanson says no single factor determines who will commit another sexual crime. It’s a combination." (R9)
Older the offender the less likely they are to re-offend sexually. R4
Note: Rapist’s victims are over the age of 18; Extra CM had unrelated victims under the age of 18; Incest offenders had related victims under the age of 18. R4 (PDF)
Additionally, the larger the age gap between the offender and victim, less likely they are to re-offend sexually. R1
Recidivism by victim type and age. Those who victimized adult females have shown the highest sexual recidivism. While the with related minor victims have the lowest sexual recidivism. R3
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